Publications

The Size and Life-Cycle Growth of Plants: The Role of Productivity, Demand, and Wedges (2024). The Review of Economic Studies . With Marcela Eslava and John Haltiwanger. [Accepted version] [Appendix] [Replication Material].

What determines the distribution of establishments in terms of size and life-cycle growth? How are those determinants related to aggregate productivity? We provide novel answers by developing a framework that uses price and quantity information on establishments' outputs and inputs to jointly estimate the demand and production parameters, and subsequently establishments' quality-adjusted productivity, deriving both micro-level and aggregate implications. We find that the dominant source of variation in establishment size is variation in quality/product appeal but that variation in technical efficiency plays an important supporting role. Multiple factors dampen dispersion in establishment size including dispersion in input (quality-adjusted) prices, markups, and residual wedges. Relatively moderate dampening factors induce large aggregate allocative efficiency losses relative to their absence. We show that joint estimation of the parameters of the demand and production function crucially affects inferences on the determinants of the size distribution of firms and their implications for aggregate productivity.

Businesses and inequality in Latin America (Accepted). Oxford Open Economics. With Marcela Eslava, Marcela Meléndez, Gabriel Ulyssea, and Ignacio Flores. [LACIR Series Working Paper No. 138].

The relationship between businesses and inequality has been a focus of recent attention globally. This chapter summarizes basic facts about this relationship in Latin America. Unlike advanced economies where superstar firm growth has prompted concerns over disproportionate income growth at the top, the facts we summarize illustrate that the main concern for Latin America is the extreme prevalence of tiny businesses whose workers and owners tend to populate the bottom income segments. The empirical likelihood that these businesses improve their productivity and grow to hire more workers and pay better wages is also very low. The region displays a deficit of employment generation in small and medium enterprises, by contrast to both micro businesses (including self-employment) and large corporations. While the former tend to remunerate both workers and owners with very low incomes, the latter pay high wages but exhibit low labor shares.

Working Papers

Business Size, Development, and Inequality in Latin America: A Tale of One Tail (2023). Policy Research Working Paper 10584. © World Bank, Washington, DC. With Marcela Eslava, Marcela Meléndez, and Laura Tenjo [Working Paper].

Using official employment surveys for 45 advanced economies and Latin American countries, this paper shows that the positive cross-country correlation between business size and GDP per capita is tighter than previously found using firm-level datasets and finds a close negative business size-Gini relationship. The paper also finds a closer connection between individual income and business size for workers in less developed countries compared with those in advanced economies. Because employment data address the bias against the smallest productive units that characterize firm-level datasets, our approach uniquely assesses and highlights the dominance of the left tail of the business size distribution in less developed countries.

Market Concentration, Market Fragmentation, and Inequality in Latin America (2021). UNDP LAC Working Paper No. 11. Background Paper for the UNDP LAC Regional Human Development Report 2021. With Marcela Eslava and Marcela Meléndez. [Working Paper].

Inequality in Latin America is much higher than in Europe and the US. The income distribution in the region is also much more skewed, displaying a thicker left tail. And, like those comparison economies, it also exhibits a long right tail. We illustrate the link between this bipolar character of inequality in the region and the similarly bipolar character of the distribution of productive units, where income is generated. The firm size distribution in Latin America is dominated by a plethora of tiny businesses, which absorb several times more employment than in the US and Europe and exhibit a much lower relative productivity, while its upper tail exhibits higher market concentration. 34% of the distance in the 50/10 personal income gap between Latin America and the US is explained by a higher concentration of workers in the categories with poorer relative income and productivity: self-employment and employment in micro establishments. In the right tail of the income distribution, the larger 90/50 personal income gap in the region compared to the US is fully explained by the larger relative income of business owners of large firms with high relative markups. We show that market concentration in the region is large and tied to small labor shares. It is also closely tied to the extreme dispersion of productivity and the prevalence of low productivity businesses. The central message is that high inequality in the region is deeply rooted in the productivity problem.

Work in Progress

Equilibrium Gender Discrimination in Student Evaluation of Teaching. With Sara Ayllon, Lars Lefgren, Richard Patterson, and Olga Stoddard. [Draft coming soon]

Reconciling the Effects of Migration: Do the Opportunity Costs Shape the Local Effects? With Mateo Arbeláez and Juan Sebastián Muñoz.

Pre-Doctoral Work

"Talented" Men and "Kind" Women? Gender Bias in Student Evaluations of Teaching (2021). Documento CEDE No. 46. (Master's Thesis) [Working Paper]. Media coverage: [El Espectador].

This paper studies gender biases in the student evaluations of teaching at a university in Colombia. I use a linear regression with student fixed effects that account for grades and professor skills, measured with a value-added model, to determine that, on average, full-time female professors receive evaluations lower by 0.07 standard deviations than male professors. Meanwhile, there are no gender differences among adjunct professors or teacher assistants. However, there is significant heterogeneity. In courses with 35 to 55 year-old professors, with more than 50 students, or with a smaller share of female students, female professors are discriminated against the most. In such cases, biases have a magnitude of about 0.1-0.2 standard deviations and represent 40\% of all evaluations. Additionally, women are mostly described with words related to personal characteristics ("kind" or "comprehensive"), and men are associated with course-related topics or positive adjectives ("topic", "exam", "talented"). Based on the results found, I propose several possible measures to reduce student bias and allow analysis on the evaluations to consider the gender differences.